{
  "annotation_id": "eaf29190-0178-406a-b381-f4de6a35732b",
  "date_created": "2026-03-02T18:01:14.876000Z",
  "date_modified": "2026-03-02T18:01:14.876000Z",
  "file_hash": "6c453653246a491de2ec220d0e1fb5b92b83b81317835583039501058bad51a9",
  "private": false,
  "record": {
    "abstract": "We compare two methods for making predictions of the climatological\ndistribution of the number of hurricanes making landfall along short sections\nof the North American coastline. The first method uses local data, and the\nsecond method uses a basin-wide track model. Using cross-validation we show\nthat the basin-wide track model gives better predictions for almost all parts\nof the coastline. This is the first time such a comparison has been made, and\nis the first rigourous justification for the use of basin-wide track models for\npredicting hurricane landfall rates and hurricane risk.",
    "arxiv_id": "physics/0611103",
    "authors": [
      "Tim Hall",
      "Stephen Jewson"
    ],
    "categories": [
      "physics.ao-ph"
    ],
    "title": "Predicting hurricane regional landfall rates: comparing local and   basin-wide track model approaches",
    "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0611103"
  },
  "schema_id": "dorsal/arxiv",
  "source": {
    "execution_id": "1a20d68e-5d9a-4ca6-a1d2-fa8083b9ba40",
    "id": "arXiv Dataset IDs",
    "type": "Model",
    "variant": "snapshot-2026-03-01",
    "version": "0.1.0"
  },
  "user_id": 1000002
}