dorsal/arxiv
View SchemaStochastic volatility of financial markets as the fluctuating rate of trading: an empirical study
| Authors | A. Christian Silva, Victor M. Yakovenko |
|---|---|
| Categories | |
| ArXiv ID | physics/0608299 |
| URL | https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0608299 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.physa.2007.03.051 |
| Journal | Physica A 382, 278 - 285 (2007) |
Abstract
We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random walk (CTRW) framework. The probability distribution of the stock price changes (log-returns) for a given number of trades N is found to be approximately Gaussian. The probability distribution of N for a given time interval Dt is non-Poissonian and has an exponential tail for large N and a sharp cutoff for small N. Combining these two distributions produces a nontrivial distribution of log-returns for a given time interval Dt, which has exponential tails and a Gaussian central part, in agreement with empirical observations.
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"abstract": "We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a\nstochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is\nidentified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the\ncontinuous-time random walk (CTRW) framework. The probability distribution of\nthe stock price changes (log-returns) for a given number of trades N is found\nto be approximately Gaussian. The probability distribution of N for a given\ntime interval Dt is non-Poissonian and has an exponential tail for large N and\na sharp cutoff for small N. Combining these two distributions produces a\nnontrivial distribution of log-returns for a given time interval Dt, which has\nexponential tails and a Gaussian central part, in agreement with empirical\nobservations.",
"arxiv_id": "physics/0608299",
"authors": [
"A. Christian Silva",
"Victor M. Yakovenko"
],
"categories": [
"physics.soc-ph",
"physics.data-an",
"q-fin.ST"
],
"doi": "10.1016/j.physa.2007.03.051",
"journal_ref": "Physica A 382, 278 - 285 (2007)",
"title": "Stochastic volatility of financial markets as the fluctuating rate of trading: an empirical study",
"url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0608299"
},
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