dorsal/arxiv
View SchemaYear-ahead prediction of US landfalling hurricane numbers
| Authors | Shree Khare, Stephen Jewson |
|---|---|
| Categories | |
| ArXiv ID | physics/0507165 |
| URL | https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0507165 |
Abstract
We present a simple method for the year-ahead prediction of the number of hurricanes making landfall in the US. The method is based on averages of historical annual hurricane numbers, and we perform a backtesting study to find the length of averaging window that would have given the best predictions in the past.
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"abstract": "We present a simple method for the year-ahead prediction of the number of\nhurricanes making landfall in the US. The method is based on averages of\nhistorical annual hurricane numbers, and we perform a backtesting study to find\nthe length of averaging window that would have given the best predictions in\nthe past.",
"arxiv_id": "physics/0507165",
"authors": [
"Shree Khare",
"Stephen Jewson"
],
"categories": [
"physics.ao-ph"
],
"title": "Year-ahead prediction of US landfalling hurricane numbers",
"url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0507165"
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