{
  "annotation_id": "a86e2203-82f8-46bf-9262-2d1c935375f8",
  "date_created": "2026-03-02T18:01:18.380000Z",
  "date_modified": "2026-03-02T18:01:18.380000Z",
  "file_hash": "3f330e035ef429233be8d49150bb58f9d55cd33a3bda7b29d4612145a439021e",
  "private": false,
  "record": {
    "abstract": "There is a clear positive correlation between boreal summer tropical Atlantic\nsea-surface temperature and annual hurricane numbers. This motivates the idea\nof trying to predict the sea-surface temperature in order to be able to predict\nfuture hurricane activity. In previous work we have used simple statistical\nmethods to make 5 year predictions of tropical Atlantic sea surface\ntemperatures for this purpose. We now compare these statistical SST predictions\nwith SST predictions made by an ensemble mean of IPCC climate models.",
    "arxiv_id": "physics/0701165",
    "authors": [
      "Thomas Laepple",
      "Stephen Jewson"
    ],
    "categories": [
      "physics.ao-ph"
    ],
    "title": "Five year ahead prediction of Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical   Atlantic: a comparison between IPCC climate models and simple statistical   methods",
    "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0701165"
  },
  "schema_id": "dorsal/arxiv",
  "source": {
    "execution_id": "5e768a24-f085-497e-8b85-93b3625a5aab",
    "id": "arXiv Dataset IDs",
    "type": "Model",
    "variant": "snapshot-2026-03-01",
    "version": "0.1.0"
  },
  "user_id": 1000002
}