dorsal/arxiv
View SchemaTail behavior of Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes
| Authors | Gerold Alsmeyer, Anita Behme |
|---|---|
| Categories | |
| ArXiv ID | 2601.09314vv1 |
| URL | https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.09314 |
| License | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
Abstract
We study the tail behavior of Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes -- that is, solutions to Langevin-type stochastic differential equations driven by a background continuous-time Markov chain. To this end, we consider a sequence of Markov modulated random affine functions $ \Psi_{n} : \mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R} $, $ n \in \mathbb{N} $, and the associated iterated function system defined recursively by $ X_0^x := x $ and $ X_{n}^x := \Psi_{n-1}(X_{n-1}^x) $ for $ x \in \mathbb{R} $, $n \in \mathbb{N}$. We analyze the tail behavior of the stationary distribution of such a Markov chain using tools from Markov renewal theory. Our approach extends Goldie's implicit renewal theory~\cite{Goldie:91} and can be seen as an adaptation of Kesten's work on products of random matrices~\cite{Kesten:73} to the one-dimensional setting of random affine function systems. These results have applications in diverse areas of applied probability, including queueing theory, econometrics, mathematical finance, and population dynamics.
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"abstract": "We study the tail behavior of Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes -- that is, solutions to Langevin-type stochastic differential equations driven by a background continuous-time Markov chain. To this end, we consider a sequence of Markov modulated random affine functions $ \\Psi_{n} : \\mathbb{R} \\to \\mathbb{R} $, $ n \\in \\mathbb{N} $, and the associated iterated function system defined recursively by $ X_0^x := x $ and $ X_{n}^x := \\Psi_{n-1}(X_{n-1}^x) $ for $ x \\in \\mathbb{R} $, $n \\in \\mathbb{N}$. We analyze the tail behavior of the stationary distribution of such a Markov chain using tools from Markov renewal theory. Our approach extends Goldie\u0027s implicit renewal theory~\\cite{Goldie:91} and can be seen as an adaptation of Kesten\u0027s work on products of random matrices~\\cite{Kesten:73} to the one-dimensional setting of random affine function systems. These results have applications in diverse areas of applied probability, including queueing theory, econometrics, mathematical finance, and population dynamics.",
"arxiv_id": "2601.09314",
"authors": [
"Gerold Alsmeyer",
"Anita Behme"
],
"categories": [
"math.PR"
],
"license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
"title": "Tail behavior of Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes",
"url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.09314",
"version": "v1"
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