{
  "annotation_id": "8d373a7a-7257-47b6-bd85-c2cf4bad951d",
  "date_created": "2026-03-02T18:01:17.629000Z",
  "date_modified": "2026-03-02T18:01:17.629000Z",
  "file_hash": "6b3b9961e1c1a74288158e0ec596911453af2f37fa581c8488b82960ccd10528",
  "private": false,
  "record": {
    "abstract": "One way to predict hurricane numbers would be to predict sea surface\ntemperature, and then predict hurricane numbers as a function of the predicted\nsea surface temperature. For certain parametric models for sea surface\ntemperature and the relationship between sea surface temperature and hurricane\nnumbers, closed-form solutions exist for the mean and the variance of the\nnumber of predicted hurricanes, and for the standard error on the mean. We\nderive a number of such expressions.",
    "arxiv_id": "physics/0701167",
    "authors": [
      "Stephen Jewson"
    ],
    "categories": [
      "physics.ao-ph"
    ],
    "title": "Predicting hurricane numbers from Sea Surface Temperature: closed form   expressions for the mean, variance and standard error of the number of   hurricanes",
    "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0701167"
  },
  "schema_id": "dorsal/arxiv",
  "source": {
    "execution_id": "ebea9251-1709-4b2b-882a-f4784d9779d5",
    "id": "arXiv Dataset IDs",
    "type": "Model",
    "variant": "snapshot-2026-03-01",
    "version": "0.1.0"
  },
  "user_id": 1000002
}