{
  "annotation_id": "84f915bd-ada6-419d-9313-134bd4e5d88e",
  "date_created": "2026-03-02T18:01:18.379000Z",
  "date_modified": "2026-03-02T18:01:18.379000Z",
  "file_hash": "4f088599716ae64a6ae30d0009d3053a1d5d2120c3b948f0b321c2cf11919860",
  "private": false,
  "record": {
    "abstract": "We are developing schemes that predict future hurricane numbers by first\npredicting future sea surface temperatures (SSTs), and then apply the observed\nstatistical relationship between SST and hurricane numbers. As part of this\noverall goal, in this study we compare the historical performance of three\nsimple statistical methods for making five-year SST forecasts. We also present\nSST forecasts for 2006-2010 using these methods and compare them to forecasts\nmade from two structural time series models.",
    "arxiv_id": "physics/0701162",
    "authors": [
      "Thomas Laepple",
      "Stephen Jewson",
      "Jonathan Meagher",
      "Adam O\u0027Shay",
      "Jeremy Penzer"
    ],
    "categories": [
      "physics.ao-ph"
    ],
    "title": "Five year prediction of Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical   Atlantic: a comparison of simple statistical methods",
    "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0701162"
  },
  "schema_id": "dorsal/arxiv",
  "source": {
    "execution_id": "91b0c038-7add-4b0c-be6f-c497b1508e7c",
    "id": "arXiv Dataset IDs",
    "type": "Model",
    "variant": "snapshot-2026-03-01",
    "version": "0.1.0"
  },
  "user_id": 1000002
}