dorsal/arxiv
View SchemaPredicting basin and landfalling hurricane numbers from sea surface temperature
| Authors | Stephen Jewson, Roman Binter, Shree Khare, Kechi Nzerem, Adam O'Shay |
|---|---|
| Categories | |
| ArXiv ID | physics/0701170 |
| URL | https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0701170 |
Abstract
We are building a hurricane number prediction scheme based on first predicting main development region sea surface temperature (SST), then predicting the number of hurricanes in the Atlantic basin given the SST prediction, and finally predicting the number of US landfalling hurricanes based on the prediction of the number of basin hurricanes. We have described a number of SST prediction methods in previous work. We now investigate the empirical relationship between SST and basin hurricane numbers, and put this together with the SST predictions to make predictions of both basin and landfalling hurricane numbers.
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"date_created": "2026-03-02T18:01:17.629000Z",
"date_modified": "2026-03-02T18:01:17.629000Z",
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"abstract": "We are building a hurricane number prediction scheme based on first\npredicting main development region sea surface temperature (SST), then\npredicting the number of hurricanes in the Atlantic basin given the SST\nprediction, and finally predicting the number of US landfalling hurricanes\nbased on the prediction of the number of basin hurricanes. We have described a\nnumber of SST prediction methods in previous work. We now investigate the\nempirical relationship between SST and basin hurricane numbers, and put this\ntogether with the SST predictions to make predictions of both basin and\nlandfalling hurricane numbers.",
"arxiv_id": "physics/0701170",
"authors": [
"Stephen Jewson",
"Roman Binter",
"Shree Khare",
"Kechi Nzerem",
"Adam O\u0027Shay"
],
"categories": [
"physics.ao-ph"
],
"title": "Predicting basin and landfalling hurricane numbers from sea surface temperature",
"url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0701170"
},
"schema_id": "dorsal/arxiv",
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"variant": "snapshot-2026-03-01",
"version": "0.1.0"
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