dorsal/arxiv
View SchemaBidding process in online auctions and winning strategy:rate equation approach
| Authors | I. Yang, B. Kahng |
|---|---|
| Categories | |
| ArXiv ID | physics/0511073 |
| URL | https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0511073 |
| DOI | 10.1103/PhysRevE.73.067101 |
Abstract
Online auctions have expanded rapidly over the last decade and have become a fascinating new type of business or commercial transaction in this digital era. Here we introduce a master equation for the bidding process that takes place in online auctions. We find that the number of distinct bidders who bid $k$ times, called the $k$-frequent bidder, up to the $t$-th bidding progresses as $n_k(t)\sim tk^{-2.4}$. The successfully transmitted bidding rate by the $k$-frequent bidder is obtained as $q_k(t) \sim k^{-1.4}$, independent of $t$ for large $t$. This theoretical prediction is in agreement with empirical data. These results imply that bidding at the last moment is a rational and effective strategy to win in an eBay auction.
{
"annotation_id": "5f0c085d-e163-4b6a-b384-6e94c6848f37",
"date_created": "2026-03-02T18:01:03.539000Z",
"date_modified": "2026-03-02T18:01:03.539000Z",
"file_hash": "1ad44519e2b4f9fda666ec6bf003be5999565fe69e5d1108361f83ecbdb32202",
"private": false,
"record": {
"abstract": "Online auctions have expanded rapidly over the last decade and have become a\nfascinating new type of business or commercial transaction in this digital era.\nHere we introduce a master equation for the bidding process that takes place in\nonline auctions. We find that the number of distinct bidders who bid $k$ times,\ncalled the $k$-frequent bidder, up to the $t$-th bidding progresses as\n$n_k(t)\\sim tk^{-2.4}$. The successfully transmitted bidding rate by the\n$k$-frequent bidder is obtained as $q_k(t) \\sim k^{-1.4}$, independent of $t$\nfor large $t$. This theoretical prediction is in agreement with empirical data.\nThese results imply that bidding at the last moment is a rational and effective\nstrategy to win in an eBay auction.",
"arxiv_id": "physics/0511073",
"authors": [
"I. Yang",
"B. Kahng"
],
"categories": [
"physics.soc-ph",
"cond-mat.stat-mech"
],
"doi": "10.1103/PhysRevE.73.067101",
"title": "Bidding process in online auctions and winning strategy:rate equation approach",
"url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0511073"
},
"schema_id": "dorsal/arxiv",
"source": {
"execution_id": "56f7ebf8-688f-464e-93d2-83a1c828c351",
"id": "arXiv Dataset IDs",
"type": "Model",
"variant": "snapshot-2026-03-01",
"version": "0.1.0"
},
"user_id": 1000002
}