dorsal/arxiv
View SchemaInductive Reasoning Games as Influenza Vaccination Models: Mean Field Analysis
| Authors | Romulus Breban, Raffaele Vardavas, Sally Blower |
|---|---|
| Categories | |
| ArXiv ID | q-bio/0608016 |
| URL | https://arxiv.org/abs/q-bio/0608016 |
| DOI | 10.1103/PhysRevE.76.031127 |
Abstract
We define and analyze an inductive reasoning game of voluntary yearly vaccination in order to establish whether or not a population of individuals acting in their own self-interest would be able to prevent influenza epidemics. We find that epidemics are rarely prevented. We also find that severe epidemics may occur without the introduction of pandemic strains. We further address the situation where market incentives are introduced to help ameliorating epidemics. Surprisingly, we find that vaccinating families exacerbates epidemics. However, a public health program requesting prepayment of vaccinations may significantly ameliorate influenza epidemics.
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"abstract": "We define and analyze an inductive reasoning game of voluntary yearly\nvaccination in order to establish whether or not a population of individuals\nacting in their own self-interest would be able to prevent influenza epidemics.\nWe find that epidemics are rarely prevented. We also find that severe epidemics\nmay occur without the introduction of pandemic strains. We further address the\nsituation where market incentives are introduced to help ameliorating\nepidemics. Surprisingly, we find that vaccinating families exacerbates\nepidemics. However, a public health program requesting prepayment of\nvaccinations may significantly ameliorate influenza epidemics.",
"arxiv_id": "q-bio/0608016",
"authors": [
"Romulus Breban",
"Raffaele Vardavas",
"Sally Blower"
],
"categories": [
"q-bio.PE"
],
"doi": "10.1103/PhysRevE.76.031127",
"title": "Inductive Reasoning Games as Influenza Vaccination Models: Mean Field Analysis",
"url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/q-bio/0608016"
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