dorsal/arxiv
View SchemaThe problem with the Brier score
| Authors | Stephen Jewson |
|---|---|
| Categories | |
| ArXiv ID | physics/0401046 |
| URL | https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0401046 |
Abstract
The Brier score is frequently used by meteorologists to measure the skill of binary probabilistic forecasts. We show, however, that in simple idealised cases it gives counterintuitive results. We advocate the use of an alternative measure that has a more compelling intuitive justification.
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"abstract": "The Brier score is frequently used by meteorologists to measure the skill of\nbinary probabilistic forecasts. We show, however, that in simple idealised\ncases it gives counterintuitive results. We advocate the use of an alternative\nmeasure that has a more compelling intuitive justification.",
"arxiv_id": "physics/0401046",
"authors": [
"Stephen Jewson"
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"title": "The problem with the Brier score",
"url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0401046"
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