dorsal/arxiv
View SchemaUse of the likelihood for measuring the skill of probabilistic forecasts
| Authors | Stephen Jewson |
|---|---|
| Categories | |
| ArXiv ID | physics/0308046 |
| URL | https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0308046 |
Abstract
We define the likelihood and give a number of justifications for its use as a skill measure for probabilistic forecasts. We describe a number of different scores based on the likelihood, and briefly investigate the relationships between the likelihood, the mean square error and the ignorance.
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"abstract": "We define the likelihood and give a number of justifications for its use as a\nskill measure for probabilistic forecasts. We describe a number of different\nscores based on the likelihood, and briefly investigate the relationships\nbetween the likelihood, the mean square error and the ignorance.",
"arxiv_id": "physics/0308046",
"authors": [
"Stephen Jewson"
],
"categories": [
"physics.ao-ph"
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"title": "Use of the likelihood for measuring the skill of probabilistic forecasts",
"url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0308046"
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